Probabilistic Analysis
•ICE Scatterplot:
–10,000 iterations
–WTP threshold C$25,000
•Cost-Acceptability:
–> 90% at a WTP threshold of C$25,000
•
ICE Incremental Cost-Effectiveness
WTP Willingness to Pay
•The incremental cost-effectiveness scatterplot shows the results of the 10,000 iterations
•It shows the incremental costs and effectiveness of the “coordinator” strategy compared to “no coordinator”
•Most simulations resulted in the “coordinator” strategy being more effective and less costly than the “no coordinator” strategy (results are in the south-east quadrant of the graph).
•The diagonal line shows a WTP of $25,000 per further hip fracture avoided. All points (iteration results) below that line are considered to be cost-effective at this threshold.
•The probability of the “coordinator” strategy being cost-effective at different WTP thresholds is high, exceeding 90% at a WTP threshold of C$10,000 and higher.